Callahan: A Patriots-Brandon Aiyuk trade, the perfect draft deal and 2 more offseason thoughts

#Patriots hiện đang tích cực theo đuổi #49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk và đã thể hiện sự sẵn sàng trả cho anh ấy như một WR hàng đầu 5, theo @MikeReiss: r/fantasyfootball

 

Has it really been just one week since free agency?

More than $300 million and seven days later, the Patriots have a new stud defensive tackle in Milton Williams; a salty No. 2 corner named Carlton Davis; a graybeard right tackle called Morgan Moses and a late-blooming linebacker, Robert Spillane, who soon might captain Mike Vrabel’s defense.

Still, major questions and roster holes remain.

How about left tackle? Wide receiver, anyone? Will the Patriots really head into the draft without proven starters at either position — again?

Here are four leftover thoughts from free agency, including a few fixes at receiver and tackle via trade and the draft:

1. Brandon Aiyuk trade deadline

The 49ers are reportedly open to dealing Aiyuk, a Patriots trade target last summer after he asked out. Turns out, Aiyuk’s trade request was a negotiating tactic, as he turned down more money from New England and Pittsburgh to stay in San Francisco on a four-year, $120 million extension. Since then, he’s torn his ACL and turned 27, while the Niners have actively shed salary by cutting ties with several veteran starters.

Allow 49ers GM John Lynch to explain.

“Since (head coach) Kyle (Shanahan) and I have been here, we’ve been the number two cash-spending team. In the last four years, we’re the fourth-highest cash-spending team. So at some point, you have to reset a little bit, or at least recalibrate. You can’t just keep pressing the pedal,” Lynch said at the combine.

“I think there’s some good that can come out of that. We need to get younger.”

Well, what better way to get younger than swapping Aiyuk out for draft picks?

Assuming the Niners are OK taking a major cap hit and publicly admitting Aiyuk’s extension was a mistake, let’s pull from Chapter 1 in the columnist playbook and push for a trade. The Patriots have a need. Aiyuk would fill that need and the team has the cash and cap to absorb him into their books. What would it take?

First of all, timing. The 49ers owe Aiyuk a $22.855 million option bonus that will trigger April 1, which appears to be an unofficial trade deadline for anyone acquiring him. If the cash-concerned Niners offload Aiyuk by the end of the month, they avoid guaranteeing Aiyuk that money.

Of course, there’s the matter of Aiyuk’s interest in New England, which was in the negatives just seven months ago. Perhaps Drake Maye’s emergence and Vrabel’s arrival have changed that. Who knows.

What we do know is, according to Sports Illustrated, the Niners were willing to accept the Patriots’ offer of a 2025 second-round pick, 2026 fourth-round pick and veteran wideout Kendrick Bourne just last August. Weighing Aiyuk’s ACL tear — which will delay his 2025 season debut — and the fact he’s now a year older, here’s a watered-down version of the same deal:

Patriots acquire: WR Brandon Aiyuk

49ers acquire: 2025 third-round pick (No. 77 overall, via Atlanta), 2026 fourth-round pick

Here, the Pats effectively flip Matthew Judon (shipped to Atlanta for the aforementioned third-round pick) and a fourth-rounder for Aiyuk. Better yet, Aiyuk is on a cheaper deal the Patriots would have signed him to last summer, and the guarantees in that contract would allow them to cut bait after the 2026 season, before he turns 30. Who says no?

2. Travis Hunter test

Callahan: A Patriots-Brandon Aiyuk trade, the perfect draft deal and 2 more offseason thoughts
Colorado wide receiver Travis Hunter (12) runs after catching a pass against Central Florida during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

If the Patriots truly take a best-player-available approach to the draft, the No. 4 pick could offer an immediate litmus test.

Colorado wide receiver/cornerback Travis Hunter is a consensus top-3 prospect in this class. Reportedly, the Patriots see him as the best wideout and corner in the draft. He’s a word-class athlete, with exceptional ball skills, body control and explosiveness.

Every respected media analyst I have read, including ex-Ravens/Eagles/Browns scout and lead NFL Network draft expert Daniel Jeremiah, ranks Hunter ahead of the Patriots’ next most probable pick: LSU offensive tackle Will Campbell. Like Hunter, Campbell is viewed as a pro-ready starter at a position of need (pending the issue of his short arms). So if Hunter slides to No. 4, will the Pats pull the trigger on the better prospect?

I would argue yes, especially considering ..

3. Trade back

The Patriots can still nab a first-round left tackle!

While Texas offensive tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. projects to go in the top 20, multi-year starters Josh Simmons (Ohio State) and Josh Conerly Jr. (Oregon) should be available in the back end of the first round.

Callahan: A Patriots-Brandon Aiyuk trade, the perfect draft deal and 2 more offseason thoughts
Oregon offensive lineman Josh Conerly Jr. (76) holds off Illinois defensive lineman Alex Bray (11) during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 26, 2024, in Eugene, Ore. Oregon won 38-9. (AP Photo/Amanda Loman)

Conerly’s stock rose after he spearheaded an effort to shut down Penn State edge rusher and potential No. 1 overall pick Abdul Carter, while Simmons was tracking to be a top-15 pick prior to a midseason injury. Simmons also has experience on the right side and is regarded as a high-level athlete.

If the Patriots package their second-round pick at No. 38 overall with their remaining third-rounder (No. 69), modern trade value charts say they should be able to jump as high as the 25th pick. If they need to leap another five spots, that should cost a fourth-round pick. Meaning, in an ideal world, the Patriots could land Aiyuk, Travis Hunter or Will Campbell, plus a first-round left tackle or wide receiver (see: Texas’ Matthew Golden) for the price of their top four picks.

Again, who stays no?

4. Spending check

After all that spending, how much new money did the Patriots actually commit in free-agent contracts?

According to Over the Cap, the Patriots rank second in total spending at $240.3 million, excluding Garrett Bradbury’s new contract, Harold Landry’s reported three-year, $43 million contract and one-year deals for edge defender K’Lavon Chaisson, safety Marcus Epps and offensive lineman Wes Schweitzer.

Those deals should clear $22 million in combined total value, putting the Patriots well over $300 million total including re-signings.

How about the real money, guarantees?

Excluding the aforementioned contracts, Patriots rank second in total free-agent guarantees ($142 million), first in full guarantees ($130 million) and first in first-year cash ($93.7 million), per Over the Cap. Williams led all free agents in guaranteed money, signing for $51 million; third-most among defensive tackles and a number that would rank top-10 at every premium, non-quarterback position.

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