Packers QB Jordan Love is avoiding sacks at the best rate in NFL history

Green Bay Packers’ Jordan Love is not the most elusive quarterback in the league. That title belongs to Lamar Jackson. Nor does Love possess the quickest release. I actually think Bryce Young has a say in that. Nor is Love some kind of un-tackle-able monster like Big Ben was back in the day.

Love is also not Josh Allen — who is some kind of freakish combination of all 3 traits listed above. These are the traits of a quarterback who is difficult to sack — a crucial yet majorly overlooked statistic in the modern NFL.

“Sacks are a QB stat” is a very real statement. Sure, a great offensive line helps, but pressures are actually much more indicative of good/bad play in the trenches.

It’s the “pressure-to-sack ratio” that truly separates QBs when it comes to sack avoidance. There isn’t much you can do in the NFL about pressure. It’s how you deal with it when it arrives at your doorstep.

Jordan Love has dealt with pressure better than any quarterback in the sport this year, and maybe ever.

In the 16 years that PFF has tracked pressure-to-sack ratios dating back to 2006, no quarterback has had a season quite like Jordan Love is currently having.

Only 7.7% of pressures on Jordan Love result in a sack. He has been sacked just 11 times on 142 pressured dropbacks.

For context, if you placed Caleb Williams or Will Levis in the same Packers offense but kept their current P2S% ratios, they’d have been sacked roughly 40 times — almost 4 times as many sacks as Love.

Avoiding sacks is obviously crucial for keeping your offense on schedule, along with minimizing turnovers — a secretly massive element of staying upright — compare Kirk Cousins’ 13 fumbles this season with Patrick Mahomes who has just 2.

So what makes Love so great at avoiding negative plays? As mentioned above, he doesn’t exactly possess the elite athleticism to avoid sacks. Sure, his trigger is quick and he can throw from a ton of different arm angles, but I wouldn’t say this all hinges on his ability to throw the ball with a defender in his face.

Is he throwing the ball out of bounds lots? Nope, he’s right around league average with 14 throwaways. Is he scrambling to avoid oncoming rushers? Hell no. Love has taken off running just 6 times under pressure this season, which is 30th in the NFL.

So why has Love been quite literally twice as good at avoiding sacks this year compared to last, and almost three times better than he was in his final year at Utah State? I don’t really know!

You’ve watched the plays. Love’s pocket presence has grown more than any part of his game over the last season but I’m still not ready to proclaim that he has the best pocket presence in football.

Is this an outlier and maybe Love will come back to earth a little and start taking more sacks? I would say yes but 143 pressures is a pretty large sample size. This isn’t just a week or two. He’s been doing this for months now.

4 of Love’s 11 sacks have came against the blitz. He has been the 2nd most blitzed QB in the NFL this year behind Bryce Young, and on Sunday Love will come up against the only defense in football that blitzes on over 50% of snaps — Brian Flores’ Minnesota Vikings.

The Vikings brought Love to the ground just once on 58 dropbacks in Week 4. Plenty of those dropbacks were obvious passing downs too after Minnesota took a huge early lead.

We know Love can deal with blitz-heavy defenses. What will the outcome be on Sunday, and can Love not only avoid negative plays, but keep his 0-turnover streak alive.

 

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